Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021747 0.023366 0.025051 0.026940 0.028998 0.031177 0.033660
2024-10-20 0.018667 0.020940 0.023429 0.026367 0.029750 0.033535 0.038108
2024-10-27 0.017048 0.019758 0.022844 0.026635 0.031191 0.036520 0.043269
2024-11-03 0.015721 0.018701 0.022201 0.026643 0.032173 0.038885 0.047728
2024-11-10 0.014831 0.018042 0.021915 0.026973 0.033468 0.041614 0.052736
2024-11-17 0.013804 0.017112 0.021193 0.026655 0.033857 0.043149 0.056241
2024-11-24 0.013013 0.016408 0.020684 0.026534 0.034440 0.044914 0.060108
2024-12-01 0.012224 0.015648 0.020039 0.026168 0.034635 0.046122 0.063240
2024-12-08 0.011689 0.015180 0.019737 0.026220 0.035371 0.048080 0.067526
2024-12-15 0.011062 0.014551 0.019176 0.025869 0.035499 0.049159 0.070567
2024-12-22 0.010439 0.013891 0.018531 0.025353 0.035342 0.049791 0.072946
2024-12-29 0.009965 0.013410 0.018106 0.025115 0.035560 0.050961 0.076200
2025-01-05 0.009512 0.012941 0.017678 0.024856 0.035735 0.052088 0.079486
2025-01-12 0.008999 0.012365 0.017070 0.024295 0.035419 0.052432 0.081523
2025-01-19 0.008762 0.012171 0.017000 0.024529 0.036324 0.054720 0.086911
2025-01-26 0.008477 0.011892 0.016791 0.024534 0.036862 0.056444 0.091459
2025-02-02 0.008292 0.011751 0.016776 0.024834 0.037875 0.058987 0.097602
2025-02-09 0.007963 0.011382 0.016400 0.024545 0.037913 0.059906 0.100918
2025-02-16 0.007702 0.011103 0.016148 0.024435 0.038234 0.061310 0.105200
2025-02-23 0.007401 0.010751 0.015769 0.024103 0.038159 0.062021 0.108238
2025-03-02 0.007209 0.010560 0.015630 0.024150 0.038725 0.063872 0.113561
2025-03-09 0.006943 0.010242 0.015279 0.023831 0.038639 0.064555 0.116664
2025-03-16 0.006657 0.009885 0.014851 0.023363 0.038266 0.064691 0.118686